Koper 2-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.71/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.71
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.10.2023 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 3-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
05.04.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
20.03.2022 Koper Koper 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
04.12.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
2-1
AWAY Aluminij
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Koper vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper nicked a narrow win over Aluminij 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Koper had 61% of the ball to Aluminij's 39%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Koper and 1.17 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Koper vs Aluminij?

Koper 2-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Koper 51%, draw 26%, Aluminij 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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