Notts County 1-3 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2025

Notts County
1-3 HT 0-1
Salford City
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.61
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
11%
7.81
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
18%
5.77
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Salford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.54/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.32
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.4 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Notts County vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Salford City
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.09 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
334 Passes 237
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Salford City Salford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
23.03.2024 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
15.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
06.11.2015 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County FAK

Notts County 1-3 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-3
AWAY Salford City
0.99 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
372 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City got the better of Notts County 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Salford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Notts County had 59% of the ball to Salford City's 41%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Notts County and 1.75 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Salford City?

Notts County 1-3 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Notts County 41%, draw 24%, Salford City 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Notts County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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