Notts County 1-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Notts County
1-2 HT 0-1
Salford City
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Notts County vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.05
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.7
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.15
X/2
12%
7.15
X/X
7%
6.23
2/1
8%
20.85
2/2
11%
4.24
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Salford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.14/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
-16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
27.2 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Notts County vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
330 Passes 252
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
06.11.2015 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County FAK

Notts County 1-2 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-2
AWAY Salford City
0.68 xG 1.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
406 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City edged past Notts County 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Notts County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Notts County had 62% of the ball to Salford City's 38%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Notts County and 1.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Salford City?

Notts County 1-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Notts County 46%, draw 22%, Salford City 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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