Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Crewe Alexandra
1-1 HT 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.85
X/2
8%
6.03
X/X
19%
4.17
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.52
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.14/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.11
+30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.6 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
280 Passes 217
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
07.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
15.04.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
23.11.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-2 HT 3-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
23.01.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.49 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
371 Passes 157
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 64% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 36%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.49 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 38%, draw 33%, AFC Wimbledon 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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