Mansfield Town 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.85
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
19%
3.88
X/2
5%
14.15
X/X
7%
7.37
2/1
5%
19.75
2/2
8%
9.73
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
2.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.56
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Colchester
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 Passes 212
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
08.05.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
03.12.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
08.02.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
17.08.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
14.02.2021 Colchester Colchester 2-2 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-1
AWAY Colchester
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
376 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town and Colchester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mansfield Town at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 62% of the ball to Colchester's 38%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.00 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Colchester?

Mansfield Town 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 62%, draw 21%, Colchester 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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