Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
9%
4.35
X/2
10%
6.89
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.44
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.24
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.5 Crosses 20.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 3.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 28
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 10
304 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 40
29 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.97 xG 0.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
457 Passes 173
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers got the better of Forest Green Rovers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 67% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 33%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 0.97 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Forest Green Rovers?

Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 40%, draw 31%, Forest Green Rovers 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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