Harrogate Town 3-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Harrogate Town
3-0 HT 1-0
Bradford City
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Harrogate Town vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.44
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
8%
7.27
X/2
14%
4.47
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.74
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harrogate Town v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -27%
1.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.92
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.4 Crosses 20.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Harrogate Town vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 313
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
29.12.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
05.11.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town FAK
01.10.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.02.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-3 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
05.02.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Harrogate Town 3-0 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
3-0
AWAY Bradford City
1.41 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
214 Passes 245
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town ran out comfortable winners over Bradford City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 46% of the ball to Bradford City's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.83 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Bradford City?

Harrogate Town 3-0 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 25%, draw 27%, Bradford City 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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