Hammarby Talang 1-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.11/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.13
+12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
03.05.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
1-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang and AFC Eskilstuna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 67% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 33%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hammarby Talang had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammarby Talang and 0.50 for AFC Eskilstuna.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Hammarby Talang 1-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 46%, draw 24%, AFC Eskilstuna 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby Talang), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
11 Apr 2025
20:00 AFC Malmö vs Hassleholms IF Analysis →