Hammarby Talang 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.22/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
2-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang squeezed past AFC Eskilstuna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammarby Talang as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 68% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 32%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Hammarby Talang 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 46%, draw 24%, AFC Eskilstuna 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby Talang) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ BTTS No
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