AFC Malmö 5-0 Onsala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Onsala EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.82/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.86
-16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Onsala
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2024 Onsala Onsala 0-5 HT 0-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
5-0
AWAY Onsala
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Onsala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö cruised past Onsala 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Malmö as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 55% of the ball to Onsala's 45%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Onsala?

AFC Malmö 5-0 Onsala in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Onsala?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 54%, draw 28%, Onsala 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ BTTS Yes
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