Onsala 0-5 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onsala EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onsala
0-5
AWAY AFC Malmö
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Onsala vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö ran out comfortable winners over Onsala 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day AFC Malmö made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Onsala had 44% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Onsala vs AFC Malmö?

Onsala 0-5 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onsala vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Onsala 37%, draw 24%, AFC Malmö 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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