Pitea IF 1-1 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.79/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.96
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Assyriska
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.10.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 1-0 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
19.06.2021 Pitea IF Pitea IF 3-2 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
1-1
AWAY Assyriska
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF and Assyriska shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pitea IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pitea IF had 51% of the ball to Assyriska's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pitea IF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pitea IF and 1.50 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs Assyriska?

Pitea IF 1-1 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pitea IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 43%, draw 28%, Assyriska 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pitea IF) ✗ Over 2.5
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