Umea FC 3-1 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.80/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.39
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Assyriska
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
30.06.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 1-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
14.11.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
23.05.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
03.11.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 1-3 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
24.06.2012 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
3-1
AWAY Assyriska
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC got the better of Assyriska 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Umea FC had 58% of the ball to Assyriska's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Umea FC and 1.60 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Assyriska?

Umea FC 3-1 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 47%, draw 25%, Assyriska 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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