Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2025

Wehen Wiesbaden
1-1 HT 1-0
Saarbrücken
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.68
Over
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.85
2-3
40%
1.81
4-5
22%
4.29
6+
10%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.85
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
11%
6.45
X/2
9%
5.03
X/X
12%
4.24
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.31
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
0.97/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.7 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-1 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
12.03.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
05.09.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
13.02.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
03.09.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-4 HT 0-4 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
03.04.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-2 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
280 Passes 507
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden and Saarbrücken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 37% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 63%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.00 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Saarbrücken?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 32%, draw 26%, Saarbrücken 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ BTTS Yes
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