Saarbrücken 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over Pick
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.77
2-3
38%
1.82
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.82
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.73
X/2
8%
6.95
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
14%
4.82
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.17
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.2 Crosses 20.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
05.09.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
13.02.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
03.09.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-4 HT 0-4 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
03.04.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-2 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
21.11.2020 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-3 HT 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
3-1
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
279 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken got the better of Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 47% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 53%, shots finished 20-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Saarbrücken and 2.00 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Saarbrücken 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 45%, draw 26%, Wehen Wiesbaden 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
9 Nov 2024
16:00 Sandhausen vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →
16:00 1860 München vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
16:00 Energie Cottbus vs Borussia Dortmund II Analysis →
16:00 Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden Analysis →
18:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →