Sandhausen 4-0 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.82
Over
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.23
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.64
6+
8%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
12%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.26
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.82/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.00
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
4-0
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
556 Passes 143
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen ran out comfortable winners over Alemannia Aachen 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sandhausen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandhausen had 73% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 27%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Alemannia Aachen?

Sandhausen 4-0 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 36%, draw 29%, Alemannia Aachen 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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