Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.03
Over
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.82
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.21
6+
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
7%
8.39
X/X
11%
5.23
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
10%
6.1
2/X
11%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln The Market 28%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -12%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.61
-29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.6 Crosses 11.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
03.09.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
243 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld saw off Viktoria Köln 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 44% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 56%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.50 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln?

Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 48%, draw 29%, Viktoria Köln 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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