Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.77
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
17%
4.79
X/2
9%
7.03
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.59
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 9.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0-2
AWAY Viktoria Köln
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln saw off Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 52% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 48%, shots finished 24-10.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln?

Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 41%, draw 27%, Viktoria Köln 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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