Lübeck 1-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.95
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
7%
6.7
X/2
21%
4.59
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.92
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.09.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 3-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
1-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and Ulm 1846 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ulm 1846 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lübeck had 38% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 62%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Ulm 1846?

Lübeck 1-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 28%, draw 23%, Ulm 1846 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulm 1846), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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