Rot-Weiss Essen vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rot-Weiss Essen v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
AL3
2-0
HT 1-0
Freiburg II
AL3
0-3
HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
AL3
Rot-Weiss Essen 4-3 Freiburg II — Actual Match Statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen nicked a narrow win over Freiburg II 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 65% of the ball to Freiburg II's 35%, shots finished 23-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 0.00 for Freiburg II.
What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Freiburg II?
Rot-Weiss Essen 4-3 Freiburg II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Freiburg II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 53%, draw 22%, Freiburg II 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.