Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Feb 2024

Erzgebirge Aue
0-0 HT 0-0
1860 München
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.22
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.98
X/2
15%
6.1
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.28
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erzgebirge Aue v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -17%
1.26/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.42
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
– Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3W-0D-3L
AWAY 1860 München
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
18.03.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
16.09.2022 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
09.04.2017 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 3-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
28.10.2016 1860 München 1860 München 6-2 HT 3-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
05.04.2015 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2

Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0-0
AWAY 1860 München
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue and 1860 München played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Erzgebirge Aue at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 55% of the ball to 1860 München's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 2.17 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München?

Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 43%, draw 24%, 1860 München 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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