Osnabrück 0-3 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.08
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
11%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.06
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
14%
6.17
X/2
15%
5.1
X/X
7%
5.3
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.12
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.52/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.02
+8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses 22.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.86 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
09.10.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-2 HT 0-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
28.06.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
15.12.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
02.03.2016 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-3 HT 0-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
19.09.2015 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
0-3
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 381
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden cruised past Osnabrück 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dynamo Dresden found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osnabrück had 41% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 59%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osnabrück and 1.83 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?

Osnabrück 0-3 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 40%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Osnabrück), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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