Cuiaba 2-2 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 Apr 2025

Cuiaba
2-2 HT 1-0
Avai
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
+29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.6 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Avai
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.03 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
328 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
03.07.2022 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
28.11.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
22.08.2020 Avai Avai 0-2 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
2-2
AWAY Avai
2.82 xG 1.07
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
189 Passes 431
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba and Avai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cuiaba at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuiaba had 34% of the ball to Avai's 66%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.82 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Cuiaba and 0.50 for Avai.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Avai?

Cuiaba 2-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 44%, draw 29%, Avai 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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