Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Criciuma 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 50% of the ball to Criciuma's 50%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.18 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Paranaense's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.67 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma?
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 26%, Criciuma 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.