Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR2
Atletico Paranaense 3-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense beat Criciuma 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 57% of the ball to Criciuma's 43%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.67 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.50 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma?
Atletico Paranaense 3-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 56%, draw 24%, Criciuma 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.