Bahia vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
0-3
HT 0-3
Fortaleza
BRCDN
3-1
HT 2-0
Bahia
BRCDN
2-1
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
4-2
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Fortaleza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bahia had 54% of the ball to Fortaleza's 46%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.43 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bahia and 1.67 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Fortaleza?
Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahia 43%, draw 32%, Fortaleza 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.