Cruzeiro 2-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
17%
3.45
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
17%
4.16
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
12%
10.7
2/X
6%
19.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
59%
-15.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.30/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
-29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
26.2 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
421 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
23.05.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.12.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
04.10.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.01 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 353
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro edged past Cuiaba 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 51% of the ball to Cuiaba's 49%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.68 — on chances, Cuiaba could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.50 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Cuiaba?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 30%, Cuiaba 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
14 Jun 2024
02:00 Flamengo vs Gremio Analysis →
02:00 Internacional vs Sao Paulo Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Criciuma Analysis →
03:30 Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Analysis →
03:30 Bahia vs Fortaleza Analysis →