Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
0-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BRK
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
2-2
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BR1
Flamengo 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Gremio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Flamengo had 42% of the ball to Gremio's 58%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.96 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Gremio?
Flamengo 2-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 50%, draw 25%, Gremio 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while BTTS No went the other way.