Criciuma 0-0 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Sep 2024

Criciuma
0-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.12
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.64
X/2
15%
6.36
X/X
10%
4.24
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
9%
4.85
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.11/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.47
+2% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.0 Crosses 16.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Criciuma vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.06.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
23.10.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.07.2014 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
14.11.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
19.08.2013 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
17.11.2012 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2

Criciuma 0-0 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
0-0
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.35 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
410 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma and Atletico Paranaense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 62% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 38%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 1.50 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Atletico Paranaense?

Criciuma 0-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Criciuma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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