Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Sep 2024

Cuiaba
0-0 HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.22
X/X
17%
3.29
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.25
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.3 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cuiaba vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.14 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
281 Passes 413
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.06.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
15.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
23.05.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.12.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
04.10.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2

Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.36 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 402
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba and Cruzeiro fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Cuiaba had 48% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.36 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Cuiaba and 0.40 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Cruzeiro?

Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 40%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuiaba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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