Spartak Varna 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 19%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.32/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.49
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
01.11.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna edged past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 60% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 40%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Varna and 0.00 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Spartak Varna 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 54%, draw 25%, Levski Krumovgrad 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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