PFC Beroe 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

PFC Beroe
2-0 HT 1-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-7.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PFC Beroe v CSKA 1948 Sofia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.37
+22% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
31.03.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
07.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
26.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-3 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1

PFC Beroe 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-0
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; PFC Beroe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 49% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 51%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.20 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

PFC Beroe 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 30%, draw 32%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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