CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.17/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.13
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
07.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
26.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-3 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia and PFC Beroe shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 59% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 41%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.75 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 49%, draw 25%, PFC Beroe 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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