Cherno More Varna 2-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 42%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.48/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
13.04.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
22.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
26.05.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
2-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna edged past Levski Sofia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Sofia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 46% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 54%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 2-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 28%, draw 31%, Levski Sofia 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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3 Nov 2024
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