Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-20.0pp
20%
Draw
11%
+9.0pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.5pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.91/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.94
+56% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Hebar 1918
3.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-5 HT 0-3 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
24.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BULK
20.04.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-3 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
29.10.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
18.03.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past Hebar 1918 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 74% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 26%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.60 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.40 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Hebar 1918?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 62%, draw 20%, Hebar 1918 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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