Manta 2-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.31/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.64
+51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
13.3 Crosses 22.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 0.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
198 Passes 304
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
10.04.2021 Manta Manta 0-2 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
2-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.21 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
319 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manta vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manta squeezed past Tecnico Universitario 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manta had 56% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Manta and 1.00 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Manta vs Tecnico Universitario?

Manta 2-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manta 31%, draw 24%, Tecnico Universitario 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ BTTS Yes
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