Macara 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.42/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.28
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.2 Crosses 15.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
159 Passes 248
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.08.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.04.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
26.10.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
08.05.2021 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.07 xG 2.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
332 Passes 199
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 18
57 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca squeezed past Macara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Macara had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 39%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.07 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Macara and 0.83 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Macara 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Macara 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Cuenca 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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