Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -27%
1.18/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.98
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.1 Crosses 19.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.08.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.04.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
26.10.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
08.05.2021 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.12.2020 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
22.08.2020 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Macara
1.06 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
227 Passes 183
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Macara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 53% of the ball to Macara's 47%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.06 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 38%, draw 25%, Macara 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5
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