Al-Qasim 1-1 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

Al-Qasim
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Karkh
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al-Qasim vs Al Karkh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.7
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
22%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al-Qasim v Al Karkh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qasim and Al Karkh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qasim at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Karkh?

Al-Qasim 1-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 41%, draw 26%, Al Karkh 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al-Qasim), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qasim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
11 Apr 2025
17:00 Al Hudod vs Erbil Analysis →
19:30 Karbala vs Zakho Analysis →