Karbala 1-0 Zakho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.8pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karbala EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Zakho EU Bookmakers 69%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.00/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.74
-100% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karbala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zakho
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.03.2024 Karbala Karbala 0-1 Zakho Zakho IRAK
POST-MATCH Karbala vs Zakho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karbala squeezed past Zakho 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zakho at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Karbala vs Zakho?

Karbala 1-0 Zakho in the Iraq - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karbala vs Zakho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Karbala 23%, draw 30%, Zakho 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zakho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zakho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
11 Apr 2025
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