Bayelsa United 3-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.9pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.65/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.34
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
16.06.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayelsa United
3-0
AWAY Shooting Stars
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United cruised past Shooting Stars 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayelsa United had 57% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 43%, shots finished 14-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayelsa United and 1.00 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Shooting Stars?

Bayelsa United 3-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 55%, draw 25%, Shooting Stars 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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