Shooting Stars 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.7pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.86/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.34
+9% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.06.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
1-0
AWAY Bayelsa United
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars nicked a narrow win over Bayelsa United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 48% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 52%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Shooting Stars 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 54%, draw 30%, Bayelsa United 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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