Plateau United 2-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.6
No
69%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
31%
BTTS Yes
34%
-3.2pp
69%
BTTS No
66%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.09/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.45
+24% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nasarawa United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.01.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-2 HT 1-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
13.06.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United saw off Nasarawa United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Plateau United and 2.00 for Nasarawa United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Nasarawa United?

Plateau United 2-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 59%, draw 26%, Nasarawa United 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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