Rivers United 1-0 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.2pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.0pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rivers United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.86/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.64
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rivers United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Abia Warriors
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.05.2024 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 2-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
23.05.2021 Rivers United Rivers United 0-0 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
02.01.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 0-1 HT 0-1 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rivers United
1-0
AWAY Abia Warriors
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rivers United vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United nicked a narrow win over Abia Warriors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rivers United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rivers United had 51% of the ball to Abia Warriors's 49%, shots finished 15-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rivers United and 0.67 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Rivers United vs Abia Warriors?

Rivers United 1-0 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rivers United vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rivers United 54%, draw 32%, Abia Warriors 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rivers United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rivers United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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