Warta Poznan 0-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.56
Over
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No Pick
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.35
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
20%
4.69
6+
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +33%
1.24/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.79
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +55%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.90 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
284 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
06.02.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
06.08.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-4 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-2
AWAY Gornik Leczna
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna saw off Warta Poznan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gornik Leczna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 45% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.67 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Gornik Leczna?

Warta Poznan 0-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 34%, draw 25%, Gornik Leczna 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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