Buzau 0-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buzau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
0.94/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.99
+98% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 66%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
15.0 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buzau
2W-0D-0L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
30.11.2024 Buzau Buzau 2-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
27.07.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 1-1 Buzau Buzau ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buzau
0-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.87 xG 2.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
310 Passes 147
73% Pass Accuracy 57%
29 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buzau vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi edged past Buzau 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day CSMS Iaşi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Buzau had 63% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 37%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 0.87 to 2.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CSMS Iaşi's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buzau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Buzau and 0.50 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Buzau vs CSMS Iaşi?

Buzau 0-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buzau vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Buzau 39%, draw 29%, CSMS Iaşi 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buzau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buzau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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