Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.05
1/2
9%
21.1
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
9%
10.5
X/2
22%
4.29
X/X
8%
5.99
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.04
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
0.87/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.20
-39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
20.4 Crosses 20.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.43 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 346
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
02.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.09.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2 HT 3-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
07.01.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-4 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
18.09.2011 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2006 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
0-2
AWAY Galatasaray
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
266 Passes 540
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray saw off Samsunspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 36% of the ball to Galatasaray's 64%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samsunspor and 3.17 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?

Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 27%, draw 23%, Galatasaray 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ BTTS No
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