Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Rayo Zuliano — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Rayo Zuliano
VEN
1-0
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 3-2 Rayo Zuliano — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas squeezed past Rayo Zuliano 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monagas had 52% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 48%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monagas's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Monagas and 1.50 for Rayo Zuliano.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano?
Monagas 3-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monagas 46%, draw 24%, Rayo Zuliano 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.