Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.72
No
50%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.09
2-3
43%
1.72
4-5
19%
3.39
6+
11%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen The Market 50%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.77 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.86
0.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.46
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Great
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
26.0 Crosses 23.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.05.2025 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2-1
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
2.00 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
171 Passes 279
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Meizhou Hakka squeezed past Guangxi Hengchen 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Hengchen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.98, about 51% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 43% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.53.

Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen Result & Final Score

Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 34%, draw 25%, Guangxi Hengchen 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5
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