Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Apr 2026

Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1 HT 2-0
Wuhan Three Towns
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.56
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
12.8
X/1
23%
4.53
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.5
2/X
4%
14.0
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.5 — our 19% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chongqing Tongliang Long v Wuhan Three Towns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
– Crosses 24.2
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.28 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
420 Passes 349
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long edged past Wuhan Three Towns 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 52% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 48%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.28 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 44%, draw 21%, Wuhan Three Towns 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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